Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002582 0.002745 0.002919 0.003122 0.003353 0.003610 0.003920
2025-04-20 0.002250 0.002453 0.002682 0.002964 0.003308 0.003722 0.004270
2025-04-27 0.002099 0.002335 0.002613 0.002971 0.003434 0.004034 0.004911
2025-05-04 0.002022 0.002289 0.002615 0.003054 0.003656 0.004498 0.005869
2025-05-11 0.001927 0.002209 0.002561 0.003053 0.003758 0.004808 0.006695
2025-05-18 0.001885 0.002189 0.002580 0.003146 0.004001 0.005375 0.008191
2025-05-25 0.001809 0.002118 0.002523 0.003123 0.004064 0.005662 0.009299
2025-06-01 0.001729 0.002037 0.002445 0.003061 0.004053 0.005814 0.010196
2025-06-08 0.001701 0.002022 0.002456 0.003131 0.004264 0.006431 0.012808
2025-06-15 0.001668 0.001998 0.002452 0.003174 0.004436 0.007025 0.016186
2025-06-22 0.001612 0.001939 0.002393 0.003127 0.004437 0.007241 0.018528
2025-06-29 0.001558 0.001880 0.002331 0.003067 0.004407 0.007380 0.020862
2025-07-06 0.001511 0.001831 0.002284 0.003034 0.004434 0.007703 0.025650
2025-07-13 0.001430 0.001732 0.002158 0.002862 0.004172 0.007204 0.023317
2025-07-20 0.001398 0.001701 0.002134 0.002860 0.004249 0.007659 0.031157
2025-07-27 0.001387 0.001700 0.002154 0.002934 0.004494 0.008716 0.063620
2025-08-03 0.001359 0.001673 0.002131 0.002932 0.004575 0.009320 0.141041
2025-08-10 0.001353 0.001676 0.002157 0.003018 0.004870 0.010915 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001324 0.001645 0.002126 0.002997 0.004912 0.011548 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001289 0.001604 0.002078 0.002940 0.004856 0.011716 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001281 0.001603 0.002093 0.003004 0.005117 0.013744 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001268 0.001594 0.002095 0.003044 0.005327 0.015891 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001241 0.001562 0.002057 0.003000 0.005297 0.016423 NaN